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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Dare Ogunbowale or Tim Patrick?

The verdict

Start Tim Patrick

Wins 61% of simulated matchups against Ogunbowale.

Both games are over; the points arrive with the box scores.

Week 6: Patrick outscored Ogunbowale 2.0 to 0.0. Our call, start Patrick (53%), was right.

Ogunbowale 39% 61% Patrick

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

RB Texans RB #64

Dare Ogunbowale

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 0.8
Status Active
WR Jets WR #93 Start

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Half PPR) 1.2
Status Active

Last 2 games

Recent form

  • Ogunbowale: 0.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 2, 2% of snaps, 0.0 touches, NYG allows the 19th most to RBs.
  • Patrick: 2.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
Ogunbowale Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ JAX 0.0 – –
Wk 5 @ TEN 0.0 2% –
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 2.0 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 3.6 93% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Ogunbowale Patrick
Median Half PPR pts 0.8 1.2
Rush Yds 5.9 0.1
Rush TD 0.1 0.0
Rec 0.7 1.0
Rec Yds 5.4 11.8
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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