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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Davis Mills or C.J. Stroud?

The verdict

Start C.J. Stroud

Wins 91% of simulated matchups against Mills.

Mills's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Stroud already played: 16.5 Half PPR pts (projected 16.9).

Mills 9% 91% Stroud

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

QB Texans QB #51

Davis Mills

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 0.2
Status Active
QB Texans QB #8 Start

C.J. Stroud

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (Half PPR) 16.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Mills: NYG allows the 8th most to QBs.
  • Stroud: 20.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, NYG allows the 8th most to QBs.
Mills Opp Pts Snaps Att
No games this season
Stroud Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs NYG 16.5 100% 28
Wk 6 @ JAX 23.0 100% 34
Wk 5 @ TEN 20.9 100% 34
Wk 4 vs DAL 23.1 100% 31

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Mills Stroud
Median Half PPR pts 0.2 16.9
Pass Yds 30.1 240.2
Pass TD 0.2 1.5
INT 0.1 0.6
Rush Yds 2.5 18.2
Rush TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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