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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start DeVonta Smith or Ian Thomas?

The verdict

Start Ian Thomas

Wins 66% of simulated matchups against Smith.

Thomas already played: 0.8 Standard pts (projected 0.0).

Week 6: Smith outscored Thomas 13.5 to 0.0. Our call, start Smith (78%), was right.

Smith 34% 66% Thomas

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
WR Eagles WR #145

DeVonta Smith

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status Out Hamstring Official designation · Sat · <1% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 17m ago
TE Raiders TE #93 Start

Ian Thomas

vs Los Angeles Rams · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Smith: 10.8 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.5 touches, DAL allows the 4th most to WRs.
  • Thomas: 2.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 31% of snaps, 1.0 touches, LAR allows the 29th most to TEs.
Smith Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 13.5 66% 7
Wk 3 @ CHI 6.5 100% 6
Wk 2 @ TEN 17.7 88% 10
Wk 1 vs WAS 5.3 95% 3
Thomas Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs LAR 0.8 – 1
Wk 6 vs BUF 0.0 21% –
Wk 5 @ NE 0.9 40% 1
Wk 4 vs KC 9.2 31% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Thomas
Median Standard pts 0.0 0.0
Rec 0.0 0.6
Rec Yds 0.1 5.5
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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