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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start DeVonta Smith or Jalen Tolbert?

Close call

Start DeVonta Smith

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Tolbert.

Tolbert's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Smith 51% 49% Tolbert

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Who booms, and who busts?

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Eagles WR #146 Start

DeVonta Smith

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 0.0
Status Out Hamstring Official designation · Sat · <1% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 8m ago
WR Dolphins WR #149

Jalen Tolbert

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (DraftKings) 0.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Smith: 18.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 87% of snaps, 6.5 touches, DAL allows the 8th most to WRs.
  • Tolbert: 1.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 18% of snaps, 0.3 touches, NYJ allows the 19th most to WRs.
Smith Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 20.5 66% 7
Wk 3 @ CHI 12.5 100% 6
Wk 2 @ TEN 30.7 88% 10
Wk 1 vs WAS 8.3 95% 3
Tolbert Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 5 vs CIN 3.2 23% 1
Wk 4 @ MIN 0.0 15% –
Wk 3 vs KC 0.0 16% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Tolbert
Median DraftKings pts 0.0 0.0
Rec 0.0 0.0
Rec Yds 0.1 0.0
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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