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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Foster Moreau or Noah Gray?

Close call

Start Foster Moreau

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Gray.

Moreau's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Gray already played: 7.4 DraftKings pts (projected 3.5).

Week 6: Moreau outscored Gray 14.7 to 8.3. Our call, start Moreau (51%), was right.

Moreau 53% 47% Gray

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

TE Texans TE #31 Start

Foster Moreau

vs New York Giants · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (DraftKings) 3.6
Status Active
TE Chiefs TE #33

Noah Gray

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (DraftKings) 3.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Moreau: 6.8 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 49% of snaps, 1.8 touches, NYG allows the 20th most to TEs.
  • Gray: 6.6 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 65% of snaps, 2.8 touches, SEA allows the 30th most to TEs.
Moreau Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ JAX 14.7 62% 2
Wk 5 @ TEN 2.8 39% 2
Wk 4 vs DAL 1.1 36% 1
Wk 3 @ IND 8.7 57% 2
Gray Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ SEA 7.4 – 3
Wk 6 vs LAC 8.3 64% 3
Wk 4 @ LV 3.7 68% 2
Wk 3 @ MIA 6.9 63% 3

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Moreau Gray
Median DraftKings pts 3.6 3.5
Rec 1.4 1.8
Rec Yds 14.1 17.3
Rec TD 0.2 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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