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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Garrett Wilson or Isaiah Likely?

Final · Week 7

Wilson outscored Likely

Our call was start Likely (52%): wrong by 1.4 DraftKings pts.

Wilson 4.6 Projected 12.3
Likely 3.2 Projected 13.1

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Jets WR #18

Garrett Wilson

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (DraftKings) 12.3
Status Active
TE Giants TE #5 Start

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (DraftKings) 13.1
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Wilson: 11.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 94% of snaps, 4.0 touches, MIA allows the 31st most to WRs.
  • Likely: 18.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 81% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 27th most to TEs.
Wilson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 4.6 85% 2
Wk 6 @ NE 8.4 98% 4
Wk 5 vs CLE 26.4 93% 7
Wk 4 @ CHI 5.7 100% 3
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 3.2 86% 2
Wk 6 vs NO 23.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 32.4 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 13.6 66% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Wilson Likely
Median DraftKings pts 12.3 13.1
Rec 4.9 6.1
Rec Yds 55.1 56.1
Rec TD 0.4 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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