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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Garrett Wilson or Tim Patrick?

The verdict

Start Garrett Wilson

Wins 81% of simulated matchups against Patrick.

Wilson already played: 2.6 Standard pts (projected 7.0).

Patrick's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: Wilson outscored Patrick 4.4 to 1.5. Our call, start Wilson (83%), was right.

Wilson 81% 19% Patrick

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

WR Jets WR #21 Start

Garrett Wilson

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 7.0
Status Active
WR Jets WR #95

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 0.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Wilson: 6.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 97% of snaps, 4.0 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
  • Patrick: 2.0 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
Wilson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs MIA 2.6 – 2
Wk 6 @ NE 4.4 98% 4
Wk 5 vs CLE 16.4 93% 7
Wk 4 @ CHI 2.7 100% 3
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 1.5 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 2.6 93% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Wilson Patrick
Median Standard pts 7.0 0.5
Rec 4.9 1.0
Rec Yds 55.1 11.8
Rec TD 0.4 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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