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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Hunter Luepke or Reggie Virgil?

The verdict

Start Reggie Virgil

Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Luepke.

Virgil already played: 0.0 Half PPR pts (projected 0.5).

Week 6: Luepke outscored Virgil 2.4 to 0.0. Our call, start Virgil (69%), was wrong.

Luepke 44% 56% Virgil

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Cowboys RB #72

Hunter Luepke

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 0.5
Status Active
WR Cardinals WR #106 Start

Reggie Virgil

vs Denver Broncos · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Half PPR) 0.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Luepke: 0.9 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 13% of snaps, 1.3 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
  • Virgil: 1.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 3, 9% of snaps, 0.7 touches, DEN allows the 27th most to WRs.
Luepke Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 2.4 14% 3
Wk 5 vs TB 0.5 12% 1
Wk 4 @ HOU 0.7 12% 1
Wk 3 vs BAL 0.0 14% –
Virgil Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs DEN 0.0 4% –
Wk 6 @ LAR 0.0 4% –
Wk 5 vs DET 3.9 18% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Luepke Virgil
Median Half PPR pts 0.5 0.5
Rush Yds 3.6 0.1
Rush TD 0.0 0.0
Rec 0.4 0.7
Rec Yds 3.3 9.2
Rec TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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