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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Isaiah Likely or Michael Wilson?

Final · Week 7

Wilson outscored Likely

Our call was start Likely (51%): wrong by 7.4 PPR pts.

Likely 3.2 Projected 13.1
Wilson 10.6 Projected 12.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

TE Giants TE #5 Start

Isaiah Likely

@ Houston Texans · Final · NYG 27–21 HOU

Median (PPR) 13.1
Status Active
WR Cardinals WR #16

Michael Wilson

vs Denver Broncos · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (PPR) 12.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Likely: 18.3 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 79% of snaps, 6.5 touches, HOU allows the 29th most to TEs.
  • Wilson: 10.4 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 90% of snaps, 5.3 touches, DEN allows the 27th most to WRs.
Likely Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ HOU 3.2 – 2
Wk 6 vs NO 23.9 91% 6
Wk 5 @ WAS 32.4 80% 11
Wk 4 vs ARI 13.6 66% 7
Wilson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs DEN 10.6 – 6
Wk 6 @ LAR 7.2 92% 4
Wk 5 vs DET 7.3 84% 4
Wk 4 @ NYG 16.5 94% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Likely Wilson
Median PPR pts 13.1 12.8
Rec 6.1 5.7
Rec Yds 56.1 64.3
Rec TD 0.4 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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