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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Jack Strand or Michael Penix Jr.?

The verdict

Start Michael Penix Jr.

Wins 95% of simulated matchups against Strand.

Strand's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Penix already played: 20.4 Half PPR pts (projected 15.8).

Strand 5% 95% Penix

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

QB Falcons QB #77

Jack Strand

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 0.0
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Half PPR) 15.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Strand: -0.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 1, 42% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.7 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
Strand Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 2 vs CAR -0.0 42% 15
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Strand Penix
Median Half PPR pts 0.0 15.8
Pass Yds 0.0 218.8
Pass TD 0.0 1.2
INT 0.0 0.4
Rush Yds 0.0 14.2
Rush TD 0.0 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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