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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jacob Cowing or Tim Patrick?

Close call

Start Jacob Cowing

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Patrick.

Cowing already played: 4.8 Standard pts (projected 1.0).

Patrick's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: Patrick outscored Cowing 1.5 to 0.0. Our call, start Patrick (56%), was right.

Cowing 50% 50% Patrick

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

WR 49ers WR #87 Start

Jacob Cowing

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 1.0
Status Active
WR Jets WR #95

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 0.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Cowing: 1.5 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 33% of snaps, 1.5 touches, ATL allows the 17th most to WRs.
  • Patrick: 2.0 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
Cowing Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 4.8 – 4
Wk 6 vs WAS 0.0 24% –
Wk 5 @ SEA 0.9 43% 1
Wk 4 vs DEN 0.2 32% 1
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 1.5 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 2.6 93% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Cowing Patrick
Median Standard pts 1.0 0.5
Rec 1.1 1.0
Rec Yds 17.4 11.8
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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