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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Jalen Nailor or Kaelon Black?

Final · Week 7

Black outscored Nailor

Our call was start Nailor (57%): wrong by 8.5 DraftKings pts.

Nailor 3.4 Projected 4.0
Black 11.9 Projected 2.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

WR Raiders WR #63 Start

Jalen Nailor

vs Los Angeles Rams · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (DraftKings) 4.0
Status Active
RB 49ers RB #50

Kaelon Black

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 2.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Nailor: 2.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 55% of snaps, 1.0 touches, LAR allows the 28th most to WRs.
  • Black: 4.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 28% of snaps, 8.5 touches, ATL allows the 5th most to RBs.
Nailor Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs LAR 3.4 75% 2
Wk 6 vs BUF 1.9 64% 1
Wk 4 vs KC 0.0 23% –
Wk 3 @ NO 2.6 57% 1
Black Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ ATL 11.9 47% 13
Wk 6 vs WAS 4.7 23% 9
Wk 5 @ SEA 1.6 18% 6
Wk 4 vs DEN 1.3 26% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Nailor Black
Median DraftKings pts 4.0 2.8
Rec 2.1 0.4
Rec Yds 28.7 3.1
Rec TD 0.2 0.0
Rush Yds 0.3 21.4
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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