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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Jared Goff or Joe Burrow?

Final · Week 7

Burrow outscored Goff

Our call was start Goff (54%): wrong by 10.9 Standard pts.

Goff 18.0 Projected 20.0
Burrow 28.9 Projected 18.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Lions QB #2 Start

Jared Goff

vs Green Bay Packers · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Standard) 20.0
Status Active
QB Bengals QB #4

Joe Burrow

@ Baltimore Ravens · Final · CIN 35–13 BAL

Median (Standard) 18.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Goff: 21.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 98% of snaps, GB allows the 28th most to QBs.
  • Burrow: 24.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, BAL allows the 16th most to QBs.
Goff Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs GB 18.0 – 32
Wk 5 @ ARI 28.9 95% 30
Wk 4 @ CAR 20.5 100% 52
Wk 3 vs NYJ 19.4 100% 32
Burrow Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ BAL 28.9 – 30
Wk 5 @ MIA 24.6 100% 32
Wk 4 vs JAX 23.7 100% 54
Wk 3 @ PIT 22.6 100% 37

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Goff Burrow
Median Standard pts 20.0 18.4
Pass Yds 308.9 261.8
Pass TD 2.1 1.9
INT 0.4 0.6
Rush Yds 7.0 18.4
Rush TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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