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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Justin Watson or Tyler Goodson?

Close call

Start Tyler Goodson

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Watson.

Watson already played: 0.7 Standard pts (projected 0.4).

Week 6: Goodson outscored Watson 0.9 to 0.0. Our call, start Watson (57%), was wrong.

Watson 50% 50% Goodson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Their ranges are almost the same

Who booms, and who busts?

Same range, so boom and bust odds decide it. Pro shows both, side by side.

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WR Chiefs WR #99

Justin Watson

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 0.4
Status Active
RB Cowboys RB #66 Start

Tyler Goodson

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 0.5
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Watson: 0.3 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 6% of snaps, 0.5 touches, SEA allows the 32nd most to WRs.
  • Goodson: 0.9 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 14% of snaps, 3.3 touches, PHI allows the 17th most to RBs.
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ SEA 0.7 9% 1
Wk 6 vs LAC 0.0 2% –
Goodson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 0.9 14% 3
Wk 5 vs TB 0.0 5% –
Wk 4 @ HOU 1.2 21% 3
Wk 3 vs BAL 1.7 15% 7

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Watson Goodson
Median Standard pts 0.4 0.5
Rec 1.0 0.4
Rec Yds 13.5 2.7
Rec TD 0.1 0.0
Rush Yds 0.3 5.8
Rush TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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