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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Kendrick Bourne or Pierre Strong?

Close call

Start Kendrick Bourne

Wins 50% of simulated matchups against Strong.

Bourne already played: 2.4 Half PPR pts (projected 3.7).

Strong's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: Strong outscored Bourne 9.2 to 7.2. Our call, start Bourne (61%), was wrong.

Bourne 50% 50% Strong

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

WR Cardinals WR #55 Start

Kendrick Bourne

vs Denver Broncos · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Half PPR) 3.7
Status Active
RB Packers RB #41

Pierre Strong

@ Detroit Lions · Final · GB 17–20 DET

Median (Half PPR) 3.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bourne: 4.8 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 57% of snaps, 3.3 touches, DEN allows the 27th most to WRs.
  • Strong: 6.3 Half PPR pts/game over his last 2, 48% of snaps, 12.0 touches, DET allows the 22nd most to RBs.
Bourne Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs DEN 2.4 – 3
Wk 6 @ LAR 7.2 57% 5
Wk 5 vs DET 9.5 49% 5
Wk 4 @ NYG 0.0 64% –
Strong Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs DAL 9.2 55% 16
Wk 5 vs CHI 3.3 41% 8

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Bourne Strong
Median Half PPR pts 3.7 3.7
Rec 2.6 1.6
Rec Yds 28.4 12.6
Rec TD 0.1 0.0
Rush Yds 0.1 12.8
Rush TD 0.0 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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