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Week 7 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Kyler Murray or Michael Penix Jr.?

Final · Week 7

Penix outscored Murray

Our call was start Murray (50%): wrong by 6.5 FanDuel pts.

Murray 13.9 Projected 16.5
Penix 20.4 Projected 16.3

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Vikings QB #12 Start

Kyler Murray

vs Indianapolis Colts · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (FanDuel) 16.5
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (FanDuel) 16.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Murray: 13.8 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, IND allows the 12th most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.7 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 24th most to QBs.
Murray Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs IND 13.9 100% 24
Wk 5 @ NO 18.3 100% 30
Wk 4 vs MIA 11.5 100% 37
Wk 3 @ TB 11.4 100% 29
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Murray Penix
Median FanDuel pts 16.5 16.3
Pass Yds 178.1 218.8
Pass TD 0.9 1.2
INT 0.5 0.4
Rush Yds 53.4 14.2
Rush TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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