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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Mac Jones or Brock Purdy?

The verdict

Start Brock Purdy

Wins 94% of simulated matchups against Jones.

Jones's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Purdy already played: 14.0 DraftKings pts (projected 24.6).

Jones 6% 94% Purdy

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

QB 49ers QB #41

Mac Jones

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 0.2
Status Active
QB 49ers QB #1 Start

Brock Purdy

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 24.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Jones: -0.2 DraftKings pts/game over his last 1, 15% of snaps, ATL allows the 13th most to QBs.
  • Purdy: 17.0 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, ATL allows the 13th most to QBs.
Jones Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 2 vs MIA -0.2 15% 0
Purdy Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ ATL 14.0 – 40
Wk 6 vs WAS 17.4 100% 29
Wk 5 @ SEA 17.2 100% 29
Wk 4 vs DEN 19.6 100% 30

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Jones Purdy
Median DraftKings pts 0.2 24.6
Pass Yds 32.9 260.4
Pass TD 0.2 2.0
INT 0.1 0.8
Rush Yds 2.0 42.4
Rush TD 0.0 0.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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