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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Malik Willis or Patrick Mahomes?

Final · Week 7

Willis outscored Mahomes

Our call was start Willis (51%): right by 20.0 Standard pts.

Willis 26.0 Projected 14.3
Mahomes 6.0 Projected 14.4

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Dolphins QB #19 Start

Malik Willis

@ New York Jets · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 14.3
Status Active
QB Chiefs QB #18

Patrick Mahomes

@ Seattle Seahawks · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 14.4
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Willis: 14.3 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, NYJ allows the 17th most to QBs.
  • Mahomes: 12.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, SEA allows the 31st most to QBs.
Willis Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ NYJ 26.0 – 21
Wk 5 vs CIN 18.9 100% 27
Wk 4 @ MIN 2.5 100% 17
Wk 3 vs KC 10.0 100% 36
Mahomes Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ SEA 6.0 – 33
Wk 6 vs LAC 10.5 100% 30
Wk 4 @ LV 17.0 100% 30
Wk 3 @ MIA 15.9 100% 24

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Willis Mahomes
Median Standard pts 14.3 14.4
Pass Yds 150.6 187.1
Pass TD 0.7 1.0
INT 0.6 0.5
Rush Yds 42.3 24.8
Rush TD 0.4 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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