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Week 7 · PPR start/sit

Start Matthew Stafford or Michael Penix Jr.?

Final · Week 7

Penix outscored Stafford

Our call was start Stafford (53%): wrong by 2.9 PPR pts.

Stafford 17.5 Projected 17.2
Penix 20.4 Projected 15.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Rams QB #7 Start

Matthew Stafford

@ Las Vegas Raiders · Final · LAR 35–21 LV

Median (PPR) 17.2
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (PPR) 15.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Stafford: 17.8 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, LV allows the 6th most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.7 PPR pts/game over his last 4, 98% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
Stafford Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ LV 17.5 – 29
Wk 6 vs ARI 16.9 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BUF 27.3 100% 54
Wk 4 @ PHI 9.7 100% 51
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 – 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Stafford Penix
Median PPR pts 17.2 15.8
Pass Yds 271.9 218.8
Pass TD 1.9 1.2
INT 0.6 0.4
Rush Yds 5.7 14.2
Rush TD 0.1 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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