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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Mike Evans or Payne Durham?

The verdict

Start Payne Durham

Wins 63% of simulated matchups against Evans.

Evans's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Durham already played: 0.0 Standard pts (projected 0.0).

Week 6: Evans outscored Durham 9.4 to 0.0. Our call, start Evans (71%), was right.

Evans 37% 63% Durham

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

WR 49ers WR #124

Mike Evans

@ Atlanta Falcons · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status Out Ribs Official designation · Fri · <1% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 3m ago
TE Buccaneers TE #62 Start

Payne Durham

@ Carolina Panthers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Evans: 11.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 49% of snaps, 4.5 touches, ATL allows the 17th most to WRs.
  • Durham: 0.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 31% of snaps, 0.3 touches, CAR allows the 14th most to TEs.
Evans Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs WAS 9.4 40% 3
Wk 5 @ SEA 19.3 63% 7
Wk 4 vs DEN 7.6 59% 5
Wk 3 vs ARI 9.4 33% 3
Durham Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 @ CAR 0.0 46% –
Wk 6 vs PIT 0.0 32% –
Wk 5 @ DAL 0.5 38% 1
Wk 4 vs GB 0.0 8% –

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Evans Durham
Median Standard pts 0.0 0.0
Rec 0.0 0.3
Rec Yds 0.0 3.0
Rec TD 0.0 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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