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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Mitchell Evans or Pharaoh Brown?

The verdict

Start Mitchell Evans

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Brown.

Evans already played: 3.9 Standard pts (projected 0.8).

Brown's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Week 6: Brown outscored Evans 0.7 to 0.1. Our call, start Evans (51%), was wrong.

Evans 57% 43% Brown

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

TE Panthers TE #42 Start

Mitchell Evans

vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Final · TB 43–13 CAR

Median (Standard) 0.8
Status Active
TE Colts TE #45

Pharaoh Brown

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 0.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Evans: 2.1 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 47% of snaps, 1.8 touches, TB allows the 8th most to TEs.
  • Brown: 0.7 Standard pts/game over his last 1, 5% of snaps, 1.0 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to TEs.
Evans Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs TB 3.9 – 2
Wk 6 @ PHI 0.1 54% 1
Wk 4 vs DET 0.8 61% 1
Wk 3 @ CLE 3.6 27% 3
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs TEN 0.7 5% 1

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Evans Brown
Median Standard pts 0.8 0.7
Rec 1.2 1.3
Rec Yds 11.5 9.8
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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