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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Pharaoh Brown or Tim Patrick?

The verdict

Start Tim Patrick

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Brown.

Both games are over; the points arrive with the box scores.

Week 6: Patrick outscored Brown 1.5 to 0.7. Our call, start Patrick (58%), was right.

Brown 45% 55% Patrick

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

TE Colts TE #45

Pharaoh Brown

@ Minnesota Vikings · Final · IND 10–16 MIN

Median (Standard) 0.7
Status Active
WR Jets WR #95 Start

Tim Patrick

vs Miami Dolphins · Final · MIA 28–25 NYJ

Median (Standard) 0.5
Status Active

Last 2 games

Recent form

  • Brown: 0.7 Standard pts/game over his last 1, 5% of snaps, 1.0 touches, MIN allows the 32nd most to TEs.
  • Patrick: 2.0 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 81% of snaps, 1.5 touches, MIA allows the 30th most to WRs.
Brown Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs TEN 0.7 5% 1
Patrick Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NE 1.5 69% 1
Wk 5 vs CLE 2.6 93% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Brown Patrick
Median Standard pts 0.7 0.5
Rec 1.3 1.0
Rec Yds 9.8 11.8
Rec TD 0.1 0.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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