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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Sam Darnold or Drew Lock?

The verdict

Start Sam Darnold

Wins 95% of simulated matchups against Lock.

Darnold already played: 14.0 Standard pts (projected 13.8).

Lock's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Darnold 95% 5% Lock

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

QB Seahawks QB #23 Start

Sam Darnold

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 13.8
Status Active
QB Seahawks QB #72

Drew Lock

vs Kansas City Chiefs · Final · KC 3–20 SEA

Median (Standard) 0.0
Status Q Elbow Official designation · Fri · 64% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 7m ago

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Darnold: 11.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, KC allows the 30th most to QBs.
  • Lock: 17.1 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 95% of snaps, KC allows the 30th most to QBs.
Darnold Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs KC 14.0 100% 28
Wk 6 @ DEN 11.0 100% 51
Wk 5 vs SF 8.3 100% 29
Wk 4 vs LAC 13.3 100% 22
Lock Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 2 @ ARI 21.4 100% 26
Wk 1 vs NE 12.8 90% 22

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Darnold Lock
Median Standard pts 13.8 0.0
Pass Yds 222.7 0.1
Pass TD 1.3 0.0
INT 0.8 0.0
Rush Yds 10.9 0.0
Rush TD 0.1 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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