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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Treyton Welch or Juwan Johnson?

The verdict

Start Juwan Johnson

Wins 90% of simulated matchups against Welch.

Welch's game is over; his points arrive with the box score.

Johnson already played: 1.2 Half PPR pts (projected 5.6).

Week 6: Welch and Johnson tied at 0.0. Our call, start Johnson (87%), was a push.

Welch 10% 90% Johnson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

TE Saints TE #99

Treyton Welch

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Half PPR) 0.0
Status Active
TE Saints TE #14 Start

Juwan Johnson

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Half PPR) 5.6
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Welch: 0.0 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 8% of snaps, 0.0 touches, PIT allows the 23rd most to TEs.
  • Johnson: 3.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 67% of snaps, 2.8 touches, PIT allows the 23rd most to TEs.
Welch Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ NYG 0.0 4% –
Wk 4 vs ATL 0.0 9% –
Wk 2 @ BAL 0.0 7% –
Wk 1 @ DET 0.0 11% –
Johnson Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 1.2 – 1
Wk 6 @ NYG 0.0 58% –
Wk 5 vs MIN 3.6 64% 4
Wk 4 vs ATL 8.9 78% 6

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Welch Johnson
Median Half PPR pts 0.0 5.6
Rec 0.0 3.8
Rec Yds 0.0 39.2
Rec TD 0.0 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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