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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Aaron Gordon or Jabari Smith Jr.?

The verdict

Start Jabari Smith Jr.

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Gordon.

Gordon 45% 55% Smith Jr.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
F Nuggets F #20

Aaron Gordon

vs Golden State Warriors · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 28.0
Status Active
F Rockets F #15 Start

Jabari Smith Jr.

vs Atlanta Hawks · Monday, October 26, 8:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 31.0
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Gordon: 30.5 Points league pts/game over his last 2, 32.5 minutes, 9.0 shots.
  • Smith Jr.: 35.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 33.3 minutes, 11.3 shots.
Gordon Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs NOP 20.0 36 9
Oct 22 @ OKC 41.0 29 9
Smith Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ ATL 33.0 33 12
Oct 23 @ SAS 22.0 31 5
Oct 21 vs DAL 51.0 36 17

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Gordon Smith Jr.
Median Points league pts 28.0 31.0
Min 29.6 36.6
PTS 14.9 16.3
REB 5.9 7.3
AST 2.8 1.9
STL 0.9 0.8
BLK 0.5 0.9
3PM 1.6 2.3
TO 1.3 1.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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