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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Aaron Gordon or Jabari Smith Jr.?

The verdict

Start Jabari Smith Jr.

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Gordon.

Gordon 43% 57% Smith Jr.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
F Nuggets F #20

Aaron Gordon

vs Golden State Warriors · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 29.0
Status Active
F Rockets F #17 Start

Jabari Smith Jr.

vs Atlanta Hawks · Monday, October 26, 8:30 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 32.0
Status Active

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Gordon: 29.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 32.5 minutes, 9.0 shots.
  • Smith Jr.: 31.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 33.3 minutes, 11.3 shots.
Gordon Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs NOP 23.3 36 9
Oct 22 @ OKC 35.5 29 9
Smith Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ ATL 29.8 33 12
Oct 23 @ SAS 20.3 31 5
Oct 21 vs DAL 43.3 36 17

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Gordon Smith Jr.
Median DraftKings pts 29.0 32.0
Min 29.6 36.6
PTS 15.0 16.3
REB 5.8 7.3
AST 2.8 1.9
STL 0.9 0.8
BLK 0.4 0.9
3PM 1.6 2.3
TO 1.3 1.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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