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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Aaron Nesmith or Josh Okogie?

The verdict

Start Aaron Nesmith

Wins 63% of simulated matchups against Okogie.

Oct 25: Nesmith outscored Okogie 17.3 to 8.5. Our call, start Nesmith (74%), was right.

Nesmith 63% 37% Okogie

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
G Pacers G #69 Start

Aaron Nesmith

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 10.3
Status Q Hamstring Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 12:40 PM ET · checked 9m ago
G Jazz G #74

Josh Okogie

vs Memphis Grizzlies · Monday, October 26, 9:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 6.0
Status Active

Last 2 games

Recent form

  • Nesmith: 16.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 19.5 minutes, 8.5 shots.
  • Okogie: 4.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 2, 8.0 minutes, 1.5 shots.
Nesmith Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ BKN 17.3 19 10
Oct 23 vs DAL 15.5 20 7
Okogie Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAL 8.5 9 2
Oct 21 @ MEM 1.3 7 1

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Nesmith Okogie
Median DraftKings pts 10.3 6.0
Min 13.8 9.3
PTS 6.8 2.7
REB 2.0 1.6
AST 1.0 0.7
STL 0.3 0.6
BLK 0.2 0.1
3PM 1.2 0.4
TO 0.6 0.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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