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Oct 28 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Airious Bailey or Jabari Smith Jr.?

The verdict

Start Jabari Smith Jr.

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Bailey.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Bailey Smith Jr.
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Bailey or Smith Jr.: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Jazz F #21

Airious Bailey

vs San Antonio Spurs · Wednesday, October 28, 9:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 31.8
Status Active Jazz injury report →
F Rockets F #12 Start

Jabari Smith Jr.

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 35.3

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bailey: 32.6 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 27.0 minutes, 10.0 shots, SAS allows the 28th most to forwards.
  • Smith Jr.: 34.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 34.8 minutes, 11.8 shots, MIL allows the 4th most to forwards.
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs MEM 42.5 34 10
Oct 25 vs LAL 41.0 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 17.8 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 29.3 24 11
Smith Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs ATL 44.5 39 13
Oct 24 @ ATL 29.8 33 12
Oct 23 @ SAS 20.3 31 5
Oct 21 vs DAL 43.3 36 17

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Bailey Smith Jr.
Median DraftKings pts 31.8 35.3
Min 32.9 36.9
PTS 16.8 17.4
REB 6.1 8.1
AST 2.5 2.2
STL 0.9 0.9
BLK 1.0 1.0
3PM 2.1 2.4
TO 1.8 1.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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