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Oct 28 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Airious Bailey or Paul Reed?

Close call

Start Airious Bailey

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Reed.

Free tiebreaker

Bailey has the safer floor

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Bailey Reed
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

A one-day Pro trial covers every game today. No card needed.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Bailey or Reed: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Jazz F #20 Start

Airious Bailey

vs San Antonio Spurs · Wednesday, October 28, 9:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 31.8
Status Active Jazz injury report →
F Pistons F #24

Paul Reed

vs Charlotte Hornets · Wednesday, October 28, 7:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 29.8

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bailey: 32.6 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 27.0 minutes, 10.0 shots, SAS allows the 28th most to forwards.
  • Reed: 31.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 22.8 minutes, 8.8 shots, CHA allows the 17th most to forwards.
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs MEM 42.5 34 10
Oct 25 vs LAL 41.0 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 17.8 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 29.3 24 11
Reed Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 27 @ NYK 43.3 26 12
Oct 25 @ PHI 25.5 23 9
Oct 23 @ MIA 41.3 26 11
Oct 20 vs BOS 17.5 16 3

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Bailey Reed
Median DraftKings pts 31.8 29.8
Min 32.9 23.5
PTS 16.8 12.7
REB 6.1 7.6
AST 2.5 2.1
STL 0.9 1.1
BLK 1.0 1.4
3PM 2.1 0.4
TO 1.8 1.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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