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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Airious Bailey or Paul Reed?

Close call

Start Paul Reed

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Bailey.

Free tiebreaker

Reed has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Bailey Reed
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Bailey or Reed: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Jazz F #17

Airious Bailey

vs San Antonio Spurs · Wednesday, October 28, 9:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 32.0
Status Active Jazz injury report →
F Pistons F #16 Start

Paul Reed

vs Charlotte Hornets · Wednesday, October 28, 7:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 33.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bailey: 34.0 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 27.0 minutes, 10.0 shots, SAS allows the 26th most to forwards.
  • Reed: 34.0 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 22.8 minutes, 8.8 shots, CHA allows the 16th most to forwards.
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs MEM 48.0 34 10
Oct 25 vs LAL 43.0 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 11.0 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 34.0 24 11
Reed Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 27 @ NYK 51.0 26 12
Oct 25 @ PHI 23.0 23 9
Oct 23 @ MIA 45.0 26 11
Oct 20 vs BOS 17.0 16 3

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Bailey Reed
Median Points league pts 32.0 33.0
Min 32.9 23.5
PTS 16.8 12.7
REB 6.1 7.6
AST 2.5 2.1
STL 0.9 1.1
BLK 1.0 1.4
3PM 2.1 0.4
TO 1.8 1.5

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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