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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Airious Bailey or Wendell Carter Jr.?

Close call

Start Airious Bailey

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Carter Jr..

Free tiebreaker

Bailey has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Bailey Carter Jr.
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

A one-day Pro trial covers every game today. No card needed.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Bailey or Carter Jr.: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Jazz F #17 Start

Airious Bailey

vs San Antonio Spurs · Wednesday, October 28, 9:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 32.0
Status Active Jazz injury report →
F Magic F #22

Wendell Carter Jr.

@ Toronto Raptors · Wednesday, October 28, 7:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 30.0
Status Active Magic injury report →

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bailey: 34.0 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 27.0 minutes, 10.0 shots, SAS allows the 26th most to forwards.
  • Carter Jr.: 37.0 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 30.0 minutes, 8.3 shots, TOR allows the 25th most to forwards.
Bailey Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs MEM 48.0 34 10
Oct 25 vs LAL 43.0 29 11
Oct 23 vs NOP 11.0 21 8
Oct 21 @ MEM 34.0 24 11
Carter Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 @ NYK 26.0 32 6
Oct 23 vs MIN 45.0 28 9
Oct 21 vs ATL 40.0 30 10

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Bailey Carter Jr.
Median Points league pts 32.0 30.0
Min 32.9 34.7
PTS 16.8 13.9
REB 6.1 8.6
AST 2.5 2.2
STL 0.9 0.9
BLK 1.0 0.9
3PM 2.1 1.1
TO 1.8 2.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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