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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Alex Caruso or Jalen Williams?

The verdict

Start Alex Caruso

Wins 56% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Oct 25: Caruso outscored Williams 44.0 to 24.0. Our call, start Williams (68%), was wrong.

Caruso 56% 44% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
G Thunder G #29 Start

Alex Caruso

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 26.0
Status Active
G Thunder G #41

Jalen Williams

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 22.0
Status Q Ankle Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 6:03 AM ET · checked 11m ago

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Caruso: 32.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 22.0 minutes, 6.0 shots.
  • Williams: 26.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 31.0 minutes, 13.0 shots.
Caruso Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 44.0 22 7
Oct 22 vs DEN 29.0 19 7
Oct 20 @ SAS 24.0 25 4
Williams Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 24.0 31 8
Oct 22 vs DEN 30.0 33 15
Oct 20 @ SAS 25.0 29 16

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Caruso Williams
Median Points league pts 26.0 22.0
Min 24.9 20.1
PTS 9.8 11.4
REB 3.9 3.2
AST 2.8 3.1
STL 1.8 0.9
BLK 0.4 0.3
3PM 1.8 0.9
TO 1.0 1.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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