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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Alex Caruso or Jalen Williams?

Close call

Start Alex Caruso

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Williams.

Oct 25: Caruso outscored Williams 36.3 to 22.5. Our call, start Williams (76%), was wrong.

Caruso 53% 47% Williams

Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Williams has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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G Thunder G #37 Start

Alex Caruso

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 23.5
Status Active
G Thunder G #36

Jalen Williams

vs Phoenix Suns · Monday, October 26, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 24.3
Status Q Ankle Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 8:23 AM ET · checked 12m ago

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Caruso: 27.1 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 22.0 minutes, 6.0 shots.
  • Williams: 27.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 31.0 minutes, 13.0 shots.
Caruso Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 36.3 22 7
Oct 22 vs DEN 24.0 19 7
Oct 20 @ SAS 21.0 25 4
Williams Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 25 vs LAC 22.5 31 8
Oct 22 vs DEN 32.3 33 15
Oct 20 @ SAS 28.3 29 16

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Caruso Williams
Median DraftKings pts 23.5 24.3
Min 24.9 20.1
PTS 9.8 11.4
REB 3.9 3.2
AST 2.8 3.1
STL 1.8 0.9
BLK 0.4 0.3
3PM 1.8 0.9
TO 1.0 1.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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