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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Brandon Miller or Jabari Smith Jr.?

Close call

Start Jabari Smith Jr.

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Miller.

Free tiebreaker

Smith Jr. has the safer floor

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Miller Smith Jr.
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Miller or Smith Jr.: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Hornets F #15

Brandon Miller

@ Detroit Pistons · Wednesday, October 28, 7:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 33.0
F Rockets F #13 Start

Jabari Smith Jr.

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 35.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Miller: 32.5 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 32.3 minutes, 23.0 shots, DET allows the 23rd most to forwards.
  • Smith Jr.: 37.5 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 34.8 minutes, 11.8 shots, MIL allows the 4th most to forwards.
Miller Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs WAS 69.0 36 28
Oct 24 vs MIA 38.0 36 29
Oct 23 vs ATL 7.0 22 14
Oct 21 @ BKN 16.0 35 21
Smith Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs ATL 44.0 39 13
Oct 24 @ ATL 33.0 33 12
Oct 23 @ SAS 22.0 31 5
Oct 21 vs DAL 51.0 36 17

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Miller Smith Jr.
Median Points league pts 33.0 35.0
Min 33.3 36.9
PTS 21.9 17.6
REB 4.8 8.1
AST 2.9 2.2
STL 1.1 0.9
BLK 0.8 1.1
3PM 3.5 2.4
TO 2.9 1.4

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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