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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Jabari Smith Jr. or Zion Williamson?

Close call

Start Zion Williamson

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Smith Jr..

Free tiebreaker

Williamson has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Smith Jr. Williamson
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Smith Jr. or Williamson: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Rockets F #13

Jabari Smith Jr.

@ Milwaukee Bucks · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 35.0
F Pelicans F #11 Start

Zion Williamson

vs Denver Nuggets · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 36.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Smith Jr.: 37.5 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 34.8 minutes, 11.8 shots, MIL allows the 4th most to forwards.
  • Williamson: 37.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 32.3 minutes, 13.3 shots, DEN allows the 13th most to forwards.
Smith Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs ATL 44.0 39 13
Oct 24 @ ATL 33.0 33 12
Oct 23 @ SAS 22.0 31 5
Oct 21 vs DAL 51.0 36 17
Williamson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DEN 33.0 32 11
Oct 23 @ UTA 43.0 33 13
Oct 21 vs IND 37.0 32 16

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Jr. Williamson
Median Points league pts 35.0 36.0
Min 36.9 30.3
PTS 17.6 20.2
REB 8.1 5.7
AST 2.2 3.5
STL 0.9 1.2
BLK 1.1 0.6
3PM 2.4 0.2
TO 1.4 1.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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