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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Brayden Burries or Marvin Bagley III?

Close call

Start Marvin Bagley III

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Burries.

Free tiebreaker

Bagley III has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Burries Bagley III
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

A one-day Pro trial covers every game today. No card needed.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Burries or Bagley III: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Bucks F #74

Brayden Burries

vs Houston Rockets · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 12.0
Status Active Bucks injury report →
F Nuggets F #71 Start

Marvin Bagley III

@ New Orleans Pelicans · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 13.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Burries: 13.3 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 14.0 minutes, 5.3 shots, HOU allows the 20th most to forwards.
  • Bagley III: 8.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 10.0 minutes, 2.7 shots, NOP allows the 9th most to forwards.
Burries Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs IND 9.0 16 5
Oct 24 @ PHI 18.0 17 7
Oct 23 vs CHI 10.0 8 3
Oct 21 @ WAS 16.0 15 6
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs GSW 13.0 11 3
Oct 24 vs NOP 10.0 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 2.0 10 3

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Burries Bagley III
Median Points league pts 12.0 13.0
Min 14.2 12.6
PTS 7.0 6.3
REB 2.8 3.8
AST 1.3 0.9
STL 0.5 0.3
BLK 0.1 0.5
3PM 0.9 0.3
TO 0.8 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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