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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Marvin Bagley III or Trey Lyles?

Close call

Start Trey Lyles

Wins 51% of simulated matchups against Bagley III.

Lyles already played: 8.0 Points league pts (projected 13.0).

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Bagley III Lyles

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Oct 27 call

Projections Tuesday, October 27, 12:00 AM ET

We email the call once the first injury reports are in.

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F Nuggets F #61

Marvin Bagley III

vs Golden State Warriors · Monday, October 26, 10:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 12.0
F Timberwolves F #58 Start

Trey Lyles

@ Cleveland Cavaliers · Final · MIN 125–127 CLE

Median (Points league) 13.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bagley III: 6.0 Points league pts/game over his last 2, 9.5 minutes, 2.5 shots.
  • Lyles: 9.8 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 13.8 minutes, 2.8 shots.
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs NOP 10.0 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 2.0 10 3
Lyles Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ CLE 8.0 13 1
Oct 25 vs TOR 13.0 14 3
Oct 23 @ ORL 18.0 16 6
Oct 21 @ MIA 0.0 12 1

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Bagley III Lyles
Median Points league pts 12.0 13.0
Min 12.6 17.1
PTS 6.1 5.9
REB 3.7 3.9
AST 0.9 1.1
STL 0.3 0.6
BLK 0.4 0.2
3PM 0.3 1.0
TO 0.7 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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