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Oct 26 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Marvin Bagley III or Trey Lyles?

Final · Oct 26

Bagley III outscored Lyles

Our call was start Lyles (53%): wrong by 5.3 DraftKings pts.

Bagley III 11.5 Projected 12.5
Lyles 6.3 Projected 13.8

How did all our Oct 26 projections do?

Oct 27 call

Projections Tuesday, October 27, 12:00 AM ET

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F Nuggets F #63

Marvin Bagley III

vs Golden State Warriors · Final · GSW 134–114 DEN

Median (DraftKings) 12.5
F Timberwolves F #59 Start

Trey Lyles

@ Cleveland Cavaliers · Final · MIN 125–127 CLE

Median (DraftKings) 13.8

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bagley III: 9.3 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 10.0 minutes, 2.7 shots, GSW allows the 26th most to forwards.
  • Lyles: 10.7 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 13.8 minutes, 2.8 shots, CLE allows the 11th most to forwards.
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs GSW 11.5 11 3
Oct 24 vs NOP 10.0 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 6.3 10 3
Lyles Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ CLE 6.3 13 1
Oct 25 vs TOR 15.0 14 3
Oct 23 @ ORL 19.3 16 6
Oct 21 @ MIA 2.3 12 1

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Bagley III Lyles
Median DraftKings pts 12.5 13.8
Min 12.6 17.1
PTS 6.1 5.9
REB 3.7 3.9
AST 0.9 1.1
STL 0.3 0.6
BLK 0.4 0.2
3PM 0.3 1.0
TO 0.7 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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