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Oct 26 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Marvin Bagley III or Trey Lyles?

Final · Oct 26

Bagley III outscored Lyles

Our call was start Lyles (52%): wrong by 6.7 FanDuel pts.

Bagley III 12.4 Projected 12.6
Lyles 5.7 Projected 13.4

How did all our Oct 26 projections do?

Oct 27 call

Projections Tuesday, October 27, 12:00 AM ET

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F Nuggets F #63

Marvin Bagley III

vs Golden State Warriors · Final · GSW 134–114 DEN

Median (FanDuel) 12.6
F Timberwolves F #58 Start

Trey Lyles

@ Cleveland Cavaliers · Final · MIN 125–127 CLE

Median (FanDuel) 13.4

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Bagley III: 9.1 FanDuel pts/game over his last 3, 10.0 minutes, 2.7 shots, GSW allows the 26th most to forwards.
  • Lyles: 10.0 FanDuel pts/game over his last 4, 13.8 minutes, 2.8 shots, CLE allows the 11th most to forwards.
Bagley III Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 vs GSW 12.4 11 3
Oct 24 vs NOP 9.8 9 2
Oct 22 @ OKC 5.1 10 3
Lyles Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ CLE 5.7 13 1
Oct 25 vs TOR 14.2 14 3
Oct 23 @ ORL 18.0 16 6
Oct 21 @ MIA 2.2 12 1

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Bagley III Lyles
Median FanDuel pts 12.6 13.4
Min 12.6 17.1
PTS 6.1 5.9
REB 3.7 3.9
AST 0.9 1.1
STL 0.3 0.6
BLK 0.4 0.2
3PM 0.3 1.0
TO 0.7 0.6

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

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Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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