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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Herbert Jones or Morez Johnson?

Close call

Start Herbert Jones

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Johnson.

Free tiebreaker

Jones has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Jones Johnson
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

A one-day Pro trial covers every game today. No card needed.

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Jones or Johnson: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Pelicans F #78 Start

Herbert Jones

vs Denver Nuggets · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 12.0
F Mavericks F #77

Morez Johnson

vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Wednesday, October 28, 9:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 12.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Jones: 7.0 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 16.3 minutes, 3.0 shots, DEN allows the 13th most to forwards.
  • Johnson: 9.0 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 14.0 minutes, 5.0 shots, OKC allows the 28th most to forwards.
Jones Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DEN 6.0 16 3
Oct 23 @ UTA 5.0 17 2
Oct 21 vs IND 10.0 16 4
Johnson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ MIA 10.0 15 4
Oct 24 vs SAS 5.0 12 6
Oct 23 @ IND 11.0 16 5
Oct 21 @ HOU 10.0 13 5

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Jones Johnson
Median Points league pts 12.0 12.0
Min 16.5 16.6
PTS 5.2 7.5
REB 2.1 3.4
AST 1.5 1.4
STL 0.8 0.4
BLK 0.3 0.1
3PM 0.8 0.5
TO 0.7 1.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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