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Oct 28 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Herbert Jones or Morez Johnson?

The verdict

Start Morez Johnson

Wins 57% of simulated matchups against Jones.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Jones Johnson
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more DraftKings pts. How accurate are these?

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Jones or Johnson: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Pelicans F #81

Herbert Jones

vs Denver Nuggets · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 12.0
F Mavericks F #72 Start

Morez Johnson

vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Wednesday, October 28, 9:30 PM ET

Median (DraftKings) 14.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Jones: 7.5 DraftKings pts/game over his last 3, 16.3 minutes, 3.0 shots, DEN allows the 14th most to forwards.
  • Johnson: 11.4 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 14.0 minutes, 5.0 shots, OKC allows the 21st most to forwards.
Jones Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DEN 8.3 16 3
Oct 23 @ UTA 4.8 17 2
Oct 21 vs IND 9.5 16 4
Johnson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 26 @ MIA 9.5 15 4
Oct 24 vs SAS 10.3 12 6
Oct 23 @ IND 14.5 16 5
Oct 21 @ HOU 11.3 13 5

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Jones Johnson
Median DraftKings pts 12.0 14.0
Min 16.5 16.6
PTS 5.2 7.5
REB 2.1 3.4
AST 1.5 1.4
STL 0.8 0.4
BLK 0.3 0.1
3PM 0.8 0.5
TO 0.7 1.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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