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Oct 26 · Points league start/sit

Start Jabari Smith Jr. or Jalen Johnson?

Close call

Start Jabari Smith Jr.

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Johnson.

Smith Jr. 52% 48% Johnson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Johnson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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F Rockets F #15 Start

Jabari Smith Jr.

vs Atlanta Hawks · Monday, October 26, 8:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 31.0
Status Active
F Hawks F #13

Jalen Johnson

@ Houston Rockets · Monday, October 26, 8:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 33.0
Status Q Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 7:21 AM ET · checked 3m ago

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Smith Jr.: 35.3 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 33.3 minutes, 11.3 shots.
  • Johnson: 52.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 31.0 minutes, 18.0 shots.
Smith Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ ATL 33.0 33 12
Oct 23 @ SAS 22.0 31 5
Oct 21 vs DAL 51.0 36 17
Johnson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs HOU 68.0 38 19
Oct 23 @ CHA 54.0 28 16
Oct 21 @ ORL 36.0 27 19

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Jr. Johnson
Median Points league pts 31.0 33.0
Min 36.6 23.4
PTS 16.3 14.1
REB 7.3 6.2
AST 1.9 4.8
STL 0.8 0.9
BLK 0.9 0.3
3PM 2.3 1.0
TO 1.5 2.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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