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Oct 26 · FanDuel start/sit

Start Jabari Smith Jr. or Jalen Johnson?

Close call

Start Jabari Smith Jr.

Wins 52% of simulated matchups against Johnson.

Smith Jr. 52% 48% Johnson

Share of simulations in which each player scores more FanDuel pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Johnson has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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F Rockets F #17 Start

Jabari Smith Jr.

vs Atlanta Hawks · Monday, October 26, 8:30 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 31.1
Status Active
F Hawks F #11

Jalen Johnson

@ Houston Rockets · Monday, October 26, 8:30 PM ET

Median (FanDuel) 36.1
Status Q Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Mon 10:21 AM ET · checked 5m ago

Last 3 games

Recent form

  • Smith Jr.: 31.5 FanDuel pts/game over his last 3, 33.3 minutes, 11.3 shots.
  • Johnson: 52.3 FanDuel pts/game over his last 3, 31.0 minutes, 18.0 shots.
Smith Jr. Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ ATL 30.5 33 12
Oct 23 @ SAS 21.5 31 5
Oct 21 vs DAL 42.5 36 17
Johnson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 vs HOU 64.8 38 19
Oct 23 @ CHA 48.4 28 16
Oct 21 @ ORL 43.8 27 19

Oct 26

Projected stat lines

Stat Smith Jr. Johnson
Median FanDuel pts 31.1 36.1
Min 36.6 23.4
PTS 16.3 14.1
REB 7.3 6.2
AST 1.9 4.8
STL 0.8 0.9
BLK 0.9 0.3
3PM 2.3 1.0
TO 1.5 2.1

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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