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Oct 28 · Points league start/sit

Start Luka Doncic or Zion Williamson?

Close call

Start Zion Williamson

Wins 53% of simulated matchups against Doncic.

Free tiebreaker

Doncic has the higher ceiling

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor.

Sim duel · 10,000 simulated games each

Doncic Williamson
See both ranges · Free for today’s games

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Share of simulations in which each player scores more Points league pts. How accurate are these?

Follow this matchup

Doncic or Williamson: each week’s call by email, once the first injury reports are in.

F Lakers F #7

Luka Doncic

@ LA Clippers · Wednesday, October 28, 10:30 PM ET

Median (Points league) 37.0
Status Q Official designation · 65% to play Report as of Wed 9:24 AM ET · checked 17m ago Lakers injury report →
F Pelicans F #11 Start

Zion Williamson

vs Denver Nuggets · Wednesday, October 28, 8:00 PM ET

Median (Points league) 36.0

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Doncic: 58.0 Points league pts/game over his last 4, 35.3 minutes, 22.8 shots, LAC allows the 24th most to forwards.
  • Williamson: 37.7 Points league pts/game over his last 3, 32.3 minutes, 13.3 shots, DEN allows the 13th most to forwards.
Doncic Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 27 vs POR 70.0 37 22
Oct 25 @ UTA 91.0 38 30
Oct 23 vs LAC 20.0 37 21
Oct 21 vs GSW 51.0 29 18
Williamson Opp Pts Min FGA
Oct 24 @ DEN 33.0 32 11
Oct 23 @ UTA 43.0 33 13
Oct 21 vs IND 37.0 32 16

Oct 28

Projected stat lines

Stat Doncic Williamson
Median Points league pts 37.0 36.0
Min 23.3 30.3
PTS 19.4 20.2
REB 4.5 5.7
AST 5.1 3.5
STL 1.0 1.2
BLK 0.3 0.6
3PM 2.2 0.2
TO 2.8 1.9

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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