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Week 7 · Half PPR start/sit

Start Alvin Kamara or Dameon Pierce?

The verdict

Start Dameon Pierce

Wins 55% of simulated matchups against Kamara.

Kamara already played: 9.7 Half PPR pts (projected 6.5).

Week 6: Kamara outscored Pierce 13.9 to 13.0. Our call, start Pierce (55%), was wrong.

Kamara 45% 55% Pierce

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Half PPR pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Saints RB #27

Alvin Kamara

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Half PPR) 6.5
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 11m ago
RB Eagles RB #26 Start

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Half PPR) 6.7
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Kamara: 11.4 Half PPR pts/game over his last 4, 30% of snaps, 9.8 touches, PIT allows the 23rd most to RBs.
  • Pierce: 7.6 Half PPR pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 9th most to RBs.
Kamara Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 9.7 – 13
Wk 6 @ NYG 13.9 26% 9
Wk 5 vs MIN 1.6 27% 5
Wk 4 vs ATL 20.3 38% 12
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 13.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 2.2 77% 13

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Kamara Pierce
Median Half PPR pts 6.5 6.7
Rush Yds 30.2 37.0
Rush TD 0.2 0.3
Rec 2.3 1.4
Rec Yds 15.7 8.6
Rec TD 0.1 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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