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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Alvin Kamara or Dameon Pierce?

The verdict

Start Dameon Pierce

Wins 58% of simulated matchups against Kamara.

Kamara already played: 6.2 Standard pts (projected 5.2).

Week 6: Kamara outscored Pierce 12.9 to 11.0. Our call, start Pierce (55%), was wrong.

Kamara 42% 58% Pierce

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

How much safer? See both floors and ceilings
RB Saints RB #28

Alvin Kamara

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 5.2
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 10:07 AM ET · checked 16m ago
RB Eagles RB #26 Start

Dameon Pierce

vs Dallas Cowboys · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 5.9
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Kamara: 9.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 37% of snaps, 9.8 touches, PIT allows the 26th most to RBs.
  • Pierce: 6.1 Standard pts/game over his last 2, 86% of snaps, 14.5 touches, DAL allows the 9th most to RBs.
Kamara Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 6.2 56% 13
Wk 6 @ NYG 12.9 26% 9
Wk 5 vs MIN 0.6 27% 5
Wk 4 vs ATL 17.8 38% 12
Pierce Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 vs CAR 11.0 95% 16
Wk 5 @ JAX 1.2 77% 13

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Kamara Pierce
Median Standard pts 5.2 5.9
Rush Yds 30.2 38.3
Rush TD 0.2 0.3
Rec 2.3 1.5
Rec Yds 15.7 8.9
Rec TD 0.1 0.0

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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