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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Alvin Kamara or Ryan Flournoy?

Close call

Start Alvin Kamara

Wins 54% of simulated matchups against Flournoy.

Kamara already played: 6.2 Standard pts (projected 5.2).

Week 6: Kamara outscored Flournoy 12.9 to 10.0. Our call, start Flournoy (52%), was wrong.

Kamara 54% 46% Flournoy

Share of simulations in which each player scores more Standard pts. How accurate are these?

Free tiebreaker

Kamara has the higher ceiling

By how much, and who’s safer?

Need a big week? Start the higher ceiling. Favored? Start the safer floor. Pro shows both, side by side.

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RB Saints RB #28 Start

Alvin Kamara

vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Final · PIT 16–10 NO

Median (Standard) 5.2
Status No game designation Limited practice Fri · 92% to play Report as of Mon 2:01 AM ET · checked 20m ago
WR Cowboys WR #38

Ryan Flournoy

@ Philadelphia Eagles · Monday, October 26, 8:15 PM ET

Median (Standard) 4.3
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Kamara: 9.4 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 37% of snaps, 9.8 touches, PIT allows the 26th most to RBs.
  • Flournoy: 6.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 74% of snaps, 4.0 touches, PHI allows the 2nd most to WRs.
Kamara Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 7 vs PIT 6.2 56% 13
Wk 6 @ NYG 12.9 26% 9
Wk 5 vs MIN 0.6 27% 5
Wk 4 vs ATL 17.8 38% 12
Flournoy Opp Pts Snaps Touches
Wk 6 @ GB 10.0 87% 7
Wk 5 vs TB 9.0 68% 3
Wk 4 @ HOU 3.7 74% 4
Wk 3 vs BAL 2.2 66% 2

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Kamara Flournoy
Median Standard pts 5.2 4.3
Rush Yds 30.2 0.5
Rush TD 0.2 0.0
Rec 2.3 3.6
Rec Yds 15.7 40.4
Rec TD 0.1 0.2

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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