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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Bo Nix or Michael Penix Jr.?

Final · Week 7

Nix outscored Penix

Our call was start Penix (52%): wrong by 5.8 Standard pts.

Nix 26.2 Projected 15.3
Penix 20.4 Projected 15.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Broncos QB #16

Bo Nix

@ Arizona Cardinals · Final · DEN 30–16 ARI

Median (Standard) 15.3
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 15.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Nix: 13.0 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, ARI allows the 2nd most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 98% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
Nix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ ARI 26.2 – 29
Wk 6 vs SEA 4.5 100% 27
Wk 5 @ LAC 7.9 100% 27
Wk 4 @ SF 13.6 98% 42
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 – 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Nix Penix
Median Standard pts 15.3 15.8
Pass Yds 189.0 218.8
Pass TD 1.3 1.2
INT 0.5 0.4
Rush Yds 25.9 14.2
Rush TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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