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Week 7 · Standard start/sit

Start Deshaun Watson or Michael Penix Jr.?

Final · Week 7

Penix outscored Watson

Our call was start Penix (51%): right by 2.2 Standard pts.

Watson 18.2 Projected 15.5
Penix 20.4 Projected 15.8

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Browns QB #15

Deshaun Watson

@ Tennessee Titans · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (Standard) 15.5
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (Standard) 15.8
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Watson: 13.2 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, TEN allows the 21st most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.7 Standard pts/game over his last 4, 99% of snaps, SF allows the 22nd most to QBs.
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ TEN 18.2 100% 36
Wk 6 vs BAL 9.5 100% 26
Wk 5 @ NYJ 12.2 100% 33
Wk 4 vs PIT 12.9 100% 33
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 100% 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 23.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Watson Penix
Median Standard pts 15.5 15.8
Pass Yds 153.5 218.8
Pass TD 1.0 1.2
INT 0.4 0.4
Rush Yds 47.0 14.2
Rush TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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