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Week 7 · DraftKings start/sit

Start Deshaun Watson or Michael Penix Jr.?

Final · Week 7

Watson outscored Penix

Our call was start Penix (52%): wrong by 1.8 DraftKings pts.

Watson 22.2 Projected 16.4
Penix 20.4 Projected 17.0

How did all our Week 7 projections do?

QB Browns QB #16

Deshaun Watson

@ Tennessee Titans · Final · CLE 27–24 TEN

Median (DraftKings) 16.4
Status Active
QB Falcons QB #13 Start

Michael Penix Jr.

vs San Francisco 49ers · Final · SF 20–29 ATL

Median (DraftKings) 17.0
Status Active

Last 4 games

Recent form

  • Watson: 14.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 100% of snaps, TEN allows the 22nd most to QBs.
  • Penix: 17.9 DraftKings pts/game over his last 4, 98% of snaps, SF allows the 24th most to QBs.
Watson Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 @ TEN 22.2 – 36
Wk 6 vs BAL 9.5 100% 26
Wk 5 @ NYJ 13.2 100% 33
Wk 4 vs PIT 14.9 100% 33
Penix Opp Pts Snaps Att
Wk 7 vs SF 20.4 – 34
Wk 6 vs CHI 24.1 100% 33
Wk 5 vs BAL 14.4 95% 32
Wk 4 @ NO 12.7 100% 20

Week 7

Projected stat lines

Stat Watson Penix
Median DraftKings pts 16.4 17.0
Pass Yds 153.5 218.8
Pass TD 1.0 1.2
INT 0.4 0.4
Rush Yds 47.0 14.2
Rush TD 0.4 0.3

Floor, ceiling, boom & bust

Range of outcomes

Who wins if you need a big week?

Both players’ floor, ceiling and boom/bust odds, with their simulated ranges side by side.

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